BItcoin BTC/USD Forecast
Last Friday the price of Bitcoin came up for interaction with the first significant horizontal resistance at $8140. As the interaction ended as a rejection the price was propelled in a downward trajectory and came down to the levels of the prior low at $7576 which was a decrease of around 6.7%. From today's open which was around the mentioned prior low level, the price has increased by 5.43% with strong bullish momentum as the majority of the increase occurred in only one hour but we are now seeing the price struggling to keep up the upward movement slightly lower then on the prior high.
On the hourly chart, you can see that the price encountered resistance, indicated by the wick from the upper side of the last hourly candle and is now likely to keep interacting with the current level as it's retesting it for resistance further. If the price manages to keep up the upward movement we could see a breakout to the upside from the first significant resistance point and to the next on at around $8500.
This would be unlikely if the found resistance proves to be stronger then the currently seen bullish momentum as a rejection at the current levels would likely lead to a lower low below the one made on 5th at $7506. The price spiked to those levels on today's open but a proper interaction with a lower spike would likely occur if the increase was seen would be stopped out at the mentioned first significant resistance as it would mean that from last Thursday we have been seeing the development of the five-wave move to the downside out of the starting downtrend.
Litecoin LTC/USD Forecast
Last Friday the price of Litecoin increased by around 9.6% coming from $109.96 to $120.47 at its highest which has pushed the price above the first significant resistance level at the descending channels resistance. The price came down for a retest of support at the broken level over the weekend and as it found support it continued moving to the upside above the prior high level, coming to $126.8 at its highest point today.
The price came above the 0 Fibonacci level which was the ending point of the prior high and above the next highly significant horizontal level at $122.32 above which it is considered to be the sellers' territory. I was expecting the price to start moving to the downside after an interaction with the first significant resistance at the descending channels resistance but as the price continued increasing further past the other significant resistance point we have likely seen the development of another five-wave move to the upside. As the move looks finished or near completion and especially considering that the price has entered the seller's territory I will be shortly expecting the start of the impulsive move to the downside.
Even though we have seen a five-wave increase I don't believe that its the starting upside wave, but is more likely the second correctional structure after the first one currently labeled as a WXYXZ correction ended. The price did make a higher high but this can also be seen on a corrective move usually ending as a running flat. If we are soon the see the start of an impulsive move to the downside the first significant support zone for the price of Litecoin would be at around $83 area.
Ethereum ETH/USD Forecast
The price of Ethereum has increased from today’s open at $228.8 by 6.59%, coming to $243.4 at its highest point today but has encounterd strong resistance there and is currently being traded slightly below those levels.
On the hourly chart, you can see that the price came down over the weekend below the prior low at around the vicinitly of the 4th wave’s ending point from the previous upside move where it found support as the price immediately started moving impulsively to the upside again.
The rise has been stopped out at the previous horizontal support which now serves as resistance but since a breakout occurred to form the descending triangle which was formed from 30th of May we are likely to see the increase continue for a bit longer before the price continues moving to the downside again.
If the descending triangle was the first structure out of the starting downward move, the increase seen from today could be viewed as a correctional upside move in which case it cannot exceed the 258 level which is around half range between the last Thursdays high and today’s open.
Bitcoin Cash BCH/USD Forecast
Over the weekend the price of Bitcoin Cash has decreased by 8.2% as it came down from $409.2 to $375.6 at its lowest point. From today’s open around the mentioned low level we have seen an increase of 5.36% to $395.7 but the price has encountered resistance as the rise has been stopped out.
On the hourly chart, you can see that the price decreased slightly above the last week’s low at $366.5 made on Wednesday which is why a lower low before the completion of the downward move would be expected if we are seeing the development of the five-wave move to the downside out of the starting downtrend.
If we are seeing the development of the 4th wave it cannot go above the $413 which the price interacted with over the weekend and found resistance there which makes this possibility higher. As the 4th wave is corrective in nature it could mean that today’s increase is still its development which we are to see from the currently encountered resistance interaction.
Over the weekend the prices have continued increasing to their first significant resistance point and have gotten rejected with the price going to the levels from which the increase was made. This movement could have been the end of the first wave from the starting downtrend but a more likely outcome would be that another lower low is coming before we see some major upside correctional movements.
Bitcoin Price Starting to Recover After Sharp Drop; Top Alts Ethereum and Litecoin Are Struggling
Bitcoin BTC/USD Forecasting
From yesterday's open at $12317 the price of Bitcoin increased to $12761 but then fell below its opening price as it came down to $12100 level. After this retracement, the start of another rise has been seen with the price reaching $13055 at its highest point today before falling nearly $800 in an hour.
The price momentum has been stopped out after an increase of 7.76% measured from yesterday's low at $12100 as the price started encountering resistance around the vicinity of the prior high on the ending point of the 5th wave of the upward impulse.
Looking at the 15 min chart, you can see that the price got close to the 0.618 Fib level but there hasn't been an interaction before the price found resistance and has started to flat out, forming a horizontal resistance point. As we are seeing the ending wave of the five-wave impulse its further development would be expected to end around the vicinity of the 0.618 Fib level and proper interaction with the price potentially exceeding it on the spike up.
This would be the completion of the five-wave impulse which started on the 7th of July and is the third wave out of the upward structure from the 2nd of July. Previous to the five-wave increase a corrective triangle has been seen forming which was according to my count the B wave out of the upward ABC three-wave move. This three-wave move would be the X wave of the higher degree count which is why after its completion which is set to develop very shortly I would be expecting a move to the downside as the third wave Y should develop.
Another possibility would be that the correction ended on the first three-wave move which are only the sub-waves of the W wave according to the current count. If that is true, then we could be seeing the development of another five-wave move instead of the three-wave ABC correction to the upside. In either way, from here I would be expecting a move to the downside and if the price falls below the lower interrupted blue horizontal level on the retracement I would indicate that the move to the upside has ended on the third wave and is corrective and not impulsive.
Ethereum ETH/USD Forecasting
From yesterday’s high at $317.62 the price of Ethereum has decreased by 4.61% measured to its lowest point today which is at $302.98. The price has recovered since and came up to around $314 after, but is currently being traded at $309.
Looking at the 15 min chart, you can see that the price is currently retesting the 0 Fib level for support as a minor breakout above occurred. The price is likely to find support at the present levels as a breakout occurred on the prior high as well and has shown the absence of strong seller’s pressure.
As we are seeing the development of a five-wave impulse to the upside from 5th of July its ending wave’s development would now likely mean further increase but only for a short while as the next significant horizontal level is getting close. This is the ending point of the prior high and the support point of the impulsive move’s ending point and now serves as significant resistance.
If we are seeing a three-wave ABC to the upside out of which the mentioned five-wave impulse from the 5th of July is the C wave, the price is set to start moving to the downside after its completion, below the ending point of the first ABC to the downside which is at $276.
Upward ABC would be the second wave out of the higher degree three-wave correction which is why the third one would be expected to end on a lower low compared to the first ABC correction which would be its first wave. The most optimal target point of the expected decrease would be around the intersection of the lower ascending level which represents an uptrend support level and the 0.236 Fib level which is at $260.5.
There is a possibility that instead of the price ending its increase from the 5th of July on the third wave, we see it developing in a five-wave manner which will indicate impulsiveness instead of the currently presumed corrective momentum.
In that case, the price of Ethereum cannot go below $296 which is the territory of the 2nd wave on which the price cannot enter on the 4th if we are seeing a five-wave increase which is why the level is serving as a significant pivot point.
Litecoin LTC/USD Forecasting
From yesterday's high at $124.6 the price of Litecoin decreased by 5.37% as it came down to $117.9 at its lowest point today. The price came down to the same low level after a recovery attempt has been stopped out at $119.95, but the price is currently being traded around $119.180.
On the 15 min chart, you can see that the price of Litecoin came down to the first significant horizontal support level which is the lower outline level off of the horizontal range in which the price action is bouncing from 5th of July. Including the price action from the day before we have seen the formation of a cup and handle pattern with the price continuing to form the handle structure from yesterday's spike abode the significant horizontal level at $122.32 which is considered as the median point of the higher degree resistance range.
As the price failed to keep up the upward momentum and instead left a spike to the upside falling down fast below the significant horizontal level indicating strong resistance is present above, we have seen a retest of the lowest support level from the mentioned pattern. The price has recovered slightly but again failed to exceed the median point of the horizontal range from 5th which got broken in the second half of yesterday's trading session.
The recovery has developed a retest of the median point and another retest of the support level from the horizontal range with the price currently holding above its half range line. I would be expecting another minor increase which could be another retest of the today's high after which another downfall below today's support level. Even though the handle still hasn't been broken we have seen the price retracing back to the cup's support level which could be viewed as a breakout.
In either way, I would be expecting a retest of the $114.31 horizontal level which was low from the 2nd of July and was the ending point of the five-wave impulse to the downside after which a corrective ABC to the upside has been seen. This is why I think that a breakout from the downside would lead to the formation of another impulsive move which would set to push the price of Litecoin back inside the lower range below the resistance zone at $109.
The price’s of the major cryptos are starting to reach their significant resistance point on the corrective increase whos continuation we’ve seen in the last 24 hours. As the prices are approaching their signifiant resistance levels, after an interaction I would be expecting another downturn in the market.
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Litecoin (LTC) Price Prediction for Today’s Top Cryptocurrencies
From yesterday's high at $13212 the price of Bitcoin decreased by 21.23% as it came down to $10407 at its lowest point today. Yesterday's high was an interaction with the significant 0.618 Fibonacci level which ended as a rejection and caused the price to start moving to the downside in an impulsive manner.
Looking at the hourly chart you can see that the price came below the 0.5 Fibonacci level and stopped out at the minor ascending trendline from the from 10th of June from when the last five-wave impulse started developing. As the price found support there an immediate recovery has started which managed to pull the price back above the 0.5 Fib level and is currently being traded at $118816, slightly below today's high at $12012.
The price recovered by over 14% today measured to the lowest spike to the highest point today but it appears that strong resistance has been encountered as indicated by the last hourly candle. This recovery appears to be correctional and is most likely the 2nd wave out of the starting downtrend. I wouldn't expect it to go above $12451 which would be a 0.618 Fib from the impulsive decrease if the corrective movement is in play.
We've seen the completion of the five-wave impulse from 10th of June which could have been the 5th wave from the higher degree count which I believe that it was. If this is true, then we are going to see further downside for the price of Bitcoin in the upcoming period as a correction of the same degree should develop.
On the hourly chart, you can see that I've projected a target to around $6914 but the price of Bitcoin could go significantly lower as it would be only the first wave to the downside. The five-wave move might not develop and we could instead see a three-wave correction to $8500 before further upside continuation but considering the seller's momentum seen from yesterday, I don't believe that Bitcoin's price is going to continue increasing further.
From yesterday’s high at $336.1 the price of Ethereum has decreased by over 18% measured to the lowest spike the price has been which is at $275.45, but the hourly candle closed above $290.7.
The price is currently being traded at around $304 and was in an upward trajectory until it reached the significant Fibonacci level at $308.59 where it found resistance on the interaction.
As a rejection occurred the price has started moving to the downside again and looking at the hourly chart you can see that its minor uptrend line still hasn’t been broken.
The increase still might continue to the significant ascending trendline which was broken but the price fell immediately inside the territory of the ascending channel, ending as a fakeout. This is why the level might get retested again on the current recovery but we are yet to see how strong is the momentum behind today’s increase.
For now, it looks weak as the Fibonacci level was able to stop it out, so now that the price started moving to the downside we could see the price starting to move below the minor ascending trendline from today’s low.
Prior to the impulsive decrease, we have seen the completion of the five-wave impulse to the upside which could have been the ending wave of the higher degree with now a downturn starting to develop as the bullish period ended.
If we are seeing the development of the higher degree correction we are likely to see a five-wave move to the downside in an impulsive manner which would only be the first wave out of the potential three-wave move of the higher degree.
In that case, the price of Ethereum would be expected to go for a retest of some major resistance point, broken on the way up, out of which the first significant one would be between $187 and $174.
From yesterday's high at $130.322 the price of Litecoin has decreased by 13% coming to $113.36 at its lowest point and even spiked further to the downside coming to $110.69 but the hourly candle closed above $133 leaving a wick on the hourly chart. The price is currently being traded at $117.69 slightly below today's high at $119.7 as a minor recovery has been made. On the hourly chart, you can see that the price of Litecoin fell inside the territory of the lower horizontal range between the $122.32 level and the $109.356 horizontal pivot. This area is highly significant as it was considered to be the support area from the first half of the bear market and managed to hold the price of Litecoin but was eventually broken on the 10th of June 2018. Out of this support/resistance, the $137 horizontal level was its furthest level and considering that the interaction with it ended as rejection with an impulsive downside move seen after, we have likely seen a retest of the broken support for resistance before further downtrend continuation.
From 5th till 12th of June we have seen the development of the five-wave move to the upside which was most likely the ending wave of the higher degree as immediately after its completion we've seen a sideways range forming before a straight downfall. This impulsiveness to the downside indicates that the sellers are taking control. If we are seeing the development of the downtrend and from 26th its first wave in a five-wave manner the price is set to go below the last horizontal support level at $109 and would enter the lower range below the support zone.
If this occurs we could view it as a confirmation of the starting downtrend as the price of Litecoin was continuously increasing from 29th of April and made an increase of 112% without a major correctional movement. That this might not be a correction and instead of a starting downtrend we are yet to see from the development of the last move to the downside, but if it were to develop in a five-wave manner with the price going below the last horizontal level the possibility of the starting downtrend would increase significantly.
The cryptocurrency market has experienced a recovery today but the prices of the major cryptos have shown early signs of weakness around their first minor resistance points. We are yet to see if the recovery continues but as the impulsiveness was exhibited by the sellers in the last 24 hours I believe that the prices aren’t headed further up and that we are seeing the start of the downtrend.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Surging, Next Stop Could Be $9,750
In the past few days, there were strong gains in bitcoin price above $9,000. BTC to USD is surging and it seems like it could even trade towards the $9,750 or $9,800 level in the near term.
Key Takeaways: BTC/USD
- Bitcoin price is surging higher and is positioned nicely above the $9,000 level against the US Dollar.
- BTC/USD broke a crucial barrier near $9,200 and a contracting triangle resistance on the 2-hours chart (data feed from Bitstamp).
- Ethereum, ripple, and bitcoin cash also gaining traction and moving higher.
Bitcoin Price Analysis
After setting above the $8,500 resistance, bitcoin price started a strong upward move. BTC surpassed many hurdles near the $8,850 and $9,000 levels to continue higher in the past few sessions.
Looking at the 2-hours chart, bitcoin even settled above the $9,100 level and the 50 simple moving average (2-hours, purple). The bulls gained traction and the price recently traded to a new 2019 high at $9,403.
It corrected lower from $9,403 and declined below the $9,200 and $9,100 levels. However, the price found support near $8,825 and it remained well above the 50 simple moving average (2-hours, purple).
Recently, it climbed back above $9,100 and broke a crucial barrier near $9,200 plus a contracting triangle resistance on the same chart. It is now trading above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent correction from $9,403 to $8,826.
An immediate resistance is near the last swing high at $9,400, above which the price could accelerate towards the $9,500 and $9,550 levels.
The main resistance above $9,500 is near the $9,750 level. The 1.618 Fib extension level of the recent correction from $9,403 to $8,826 is near the $9,750 level. Above $9,750, the bulls are likely to target the key $10K level.
On the downside, an initial support for bitcoin price is near the $9,200 level. If there is a fresh downside correction, BTC to USD might retest the $9,000 pivot level. If there are more losses, the downside extension could lead the price towards the $8,800 or $8,750 level. Overall, BTC price is likely to accelerate towards $9,750 or $10K.